피겨는 언어다

Schedule of Events
(Time zone Eastern Time in the U.S.)

2/29 (Wed)
05:00~08:50 Ice Dancing SD
11:15~14:35 Pairs SP

3/1 (Thur)
05:30~09:55 Men SP
11:30~14:20 Pairs FS

3/2 (Fri)
05:00~09:25 Ladies SP
11:00~14:10 Ice Dancing FD

3/3 (Sat)
05:00~08:50 Men FS
10:30~14:15 Ladies FS

3/4 (Sun)
06:30~9:30     Gala

The Contenders for the Podium 

They has been also list for podium poll in FSU.

Name               / Nationality / ISU Personal Best / competition result

Han YAN           CHN       219.37  /   JGPF 2nd
Denis TEN         KAZ        212.39  (Sr) /  Skate Canada International 5th 
Jason BROWN       USA      208.41  /   JGPF 1st
Joshua FARRIS     USA       207.67  /   JGPF 3rd
Artur DMITRIEV    RUS    197.09 / 2011 Jr World 8th(2012 Russian Jr.National 2nd)
Keiji TANAKA      JPN       196.98  / 2011 Jr. World 2nd
Ryuju HINO       JPN       182.71 /  JGPF 5th  (2012 Japanese Jr. Nationals 1st)
He ZHANG         CHN       182.38  / JGP Riga 2nd
Liam FIRUS       CAN     180.00 / JGP Brisbane 3rd
Timothy DOLENSKY  USA      176.77  /   JGP Riga 3rd
Zhan BUSH       RUS   176.64/ 2011 Jr. World 11th(2012 Russian Jr Nationals 1st) 
June Hyoung LEE  KOR       176.48   / JGP Milan 3rd
Shoma UNO       JPN      175.15  / JGP Tallin 3rd
Nam NGUYEN      CAN      169.50   / JGP Brasov 3rd


Yan HAN  (CHN) 219.37

One of the most competitive contenders.
He has landed not only 3A but also 4T
Even though at JGPF, he won the silver due to bad condition,
He won the silver behind Nan Song at Chinese National WInter Games in January,
and won Youth Olympic Games in late January with 192.45 scores.

SP 2012 Chinese National Winter Games


FS 2012 Chinese Winter Games



Dennis Ten (KAZ)  212.39 (Sr. score)

Dennis Ten competes at junior competition again.
With his expereince at senior grand prix and his 3A and 4T, he can not be overlooked among podium contenders.

However, this will be his last U-Turn appearance at junior competition.
I was told that ISU will pass the policy that those who attend international senior level events more than twice can not attend junior level again.

SP 2012 4CC


FS Skate Canada



Jason BROWN  (USA) 208.41

Winner at JGP Final at Quebec city.
Without 3A, but stable triples, delicate footwork and musicality have made him stay among top ranker junior skaters.
At the interview with Ice network after JGP Final, he told that he had prepared 3A in his program at JGP Final,
but changed his mind after his practice at the rink.
Will he try 3A at junior World championship? Let us see his new strategy.

SP JGP Final



FS JGP Final



Joshua FARRIS  (USA)  207.67

With 3A,  stable triple, spins and musicality, Joshua had seemed to be a credible competitor during this season just before 2012 US Nationals.
In Colorado Springs where his training camp is located at, he ruined most jumps confined within 30 second lo~~nger program.
But, Minsk will be OK, 
He will come back with his junior program which he had been familar with.

SP JGP Final


FS JGP Final

Shoma UNO  (JPN)

SP Japanese Senior Nationals


FS Japanese Senior Nationals

Nam NGUYEUN  (CAN)

The youngest men who participants at this competition.
On the 1st day at the events, he landed his first 3A at competition and won the preliminary event ahead of June-Hyoung LEE

JGP Brasov


FS JGP Brasov

Schedule of Events
(Time zone Eastern Time in U.S.)

2/29 (Wed)
05:00~08:50 Ice Dancing SD
11:15~14:35 Pairs SP

3/1 (Thur)
05:30~09:55 Men SP
11:30~14:20 Pairs FS

3/2 (Fri)
05:00~09:25 Ladies SP
11:00~14:10 Ice Dancing FD

3/3 (Sat)
05:00~08:50 Men FS
10:30~14:15 Ladies FS

3/4 (Sun)
06:30~9:30     Gala

The Contenders for the Podium 

They has been also list for podium poll in FSU. (except Polina Shelepen due to the recent substitution)

Name    /   Nationality  /  ISU personal best    /  competition results.

Julia LIPNITSKAIA   RUS     183.05  /  JGPF 1st, Russian Junior Nationals 1st
Adelina SOTNIKOVA   RUS     178.97 /  2011 Junior World Championship 1st, YOG 2nd
Gracie GOLD        USA     172.69  /  JGP Tallinn 1st, U.S. Nationals Junior 1st
Christina GAO      USA     167.14  / 2011 Jr World Championship 4th, GP China 5th
Polina SHELEPEN    RUS    162.34  / JGPF 2nd, Russian Junior Nationals 2nd
Satoko MIYAHARA    JPN     162.20  /  JGP Gdanisk 2nd
Risa SHOJI         JPN      157.83  / JGPF 6th
Vanessa LAM        USA     156.58  /  JGPF 5th
Zijun LI           CHN     156.40 / JGPF 4th
Joshi HELGESSON    SWE     149.08 (Sr)  /  European Championships 10th
Hae-Jin KIM        KOR      144.61  / JGP Brasov 3rd
Miu SATO           JPN      141.52 / JGP Innsbruck 4th


These are brief informations of each competitors and video links for their recent competitions.

Julia LIPNITSKAIA  (RUS) 183.05

   172 is her lowest scores in this season.
    Later part in the season, she scored from late 170  to early 180.
    Also she placed 2nd at Russain Senior Nationals in last December and won the Russian Junior Nationals in February. 
    Her scores in both junior nationals and seneior ones were over 190, even though it were not international competitions.
    Jump consistency through this season and acrobatic signature "i" spin are her strong points.

SP (Russian  Junior Nationals) 65.28   2A, 3T+3T, 3Lz

FS (Russain Junior Nationals) 126.64   2A+3T+2T, 2A+3T, 3Lz, 3Lo, 3F+2T, 3F, 3S

Adelina SOTNIKOVA (RUS) 178.97

  Defending Junior World champion.
  Her score oscilitated from 159 to late 160 through the season.
   In last Decmber, she won the Russian Nationals senior but she was defeated by Tuktamisheva in Youth Olympic Games in January, losing jump consistency again.
   Her second medal at Junior World Championship will depend on her jump consistency which came back and went away repeatedly. 

SP Russian National Sr.


FS Russian National Sr.

Gracie GOLD (USA) 172.69

SP Russian Nationals Junior 3T+3T, 3Lz, 2A

FS  Russain Nationals Junior 3Lz+3T, 3S+3T, 3Lo, 3F(e)+2T+2Lo, 2A, 3Lz, 2A

Except these "New Big Fours," ("new" is added, because Polina Shelphen substitutes for Tuktamysheva),

The places of other competitors within 12th places
will depend on their condition on the competition day.

Let me show you their recent programs through Youtube links.


Christina GAO (USA)

SP 2012 US Nationals Sr.


FS 2012 US Nationals Sr.




Satoko Miyahara (JPN)

Even though she failed in advancing JGP Final.
In late December, she won Japanese Junior Natioals with 172.17 scores.

SP Japanese Nationals Junior




FS JGP Baltic Cup




Risa SHOJI (JPN)

SP JGP Final


FS JGP Final




Vanessa LAM (USA)

SP JGP Final


FS JGP Final




Zijun LI (CHN)

SP Chinese National Winter Games



FS Chinese National Winter Games




Joshi HELGESSON (SWE)

SP European Championship


FS European Championship



Hae-Jin KIM (KOR)

In January, she won her third S.Korean National title with decent scores, 167.73
She landed 3T-3T in short and tried 3F-3T in Free.

SP 2012 S.Korean Nationals 



FS 2012 S.Korean Nationals 



Miu SATO (JPN)

She placed 5th with 163.86 scores in Japanese Senior Nationals in last December.

SP Japanese Nationals Sr.


FS Janpanese Nationals Sr.



----------------

Despite her absence from ISU competitions in this season,
another competitor from Canada should be mentioned,

Kaetlyn Osmond (CAN)

This is her first international competition appearance in this season.
She was not so successful at 2010-2011 ISU jgp,
but got a spotlight at Canadian Senior Nationals in January, winning bronze medal with overall score 155.47.

SP Canada Nationals Sr.



FS Canada Nationals Sr.




------------

Podium Scores Prediction

last two seasons's Jr. world Championship podium scores

2010 Junior World Championship
    1   165.47 Kanako Murakamki 
    2   156.79 Agnes Zawadzki
    3.  154.27 Polina Agafonova

2011 Junior World Championship
    1  174.96 Adelina Sotnikova   
    2   169.11 Elizavetha Tuktamysheva
    3   161.37 Agnes Zawadzki  

Due to new faces such as Gracie GOLD and Julia LIPNITSKAIA
Minimum scores to stand podium may be
165~170


My Podium Prediction

Gold : Julia LIPNITSKAIA
Silver: Gracie GOLD
Bronze: Adelina SOTNIKOVA

(Sorry that they are overlapped with everybody's prediction....)

Chasers: Christina GAO, Zijun LEE, Hae-Jin KIM, Satoko MIYAHARA

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For Men Preview SEE:
http://spiral9509.tistory.com/20

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If you have some difficulties in watching the Video clips, please let me know by writing comments.

It will be also fun to look around other posts in my blog through Google translator.
But remember that don't trust the translator so much, because it gives you often many errors especially from Korean into English.

Finally, Junior Worlds week !!! 
Enjoy!!!

- spiral9509 -
"Skating is Language" 

SP (Russian  Junior Nationals) 65.28   2A, 3T+3T, 3Lz

FS (Russain Junior Nationals) 126.64   2A+3T+2T, 2A+3T, 3Lz, 3Lo, 3F+2T, 3F, 3S

SP 러시아 주니어 내셔널  3T+3T, 3Lz, 2A

FS  러시아 주니어 내셔널 3Lz+3T, 3S+3T, 3Lo, 3F(e)+2T+2Lo, 2A, 3Lz, 2A

그레이시 골드

   JGP에서 172.69를 기록, 지난 1월의 미국 내셔널 주니어에서 안정된 점프 컨시를 보여주며 178.92를 기록
    미국 피겨팬들의 기대를 한몸에 받고 있습니다.
   지난 시즌 내셔널 주니어에서 탈락한 후, 이번 시즌  내셔널 주니어 챔피언이 되면서 한층 멘탈면에서 강해진 듯 합니다.
   스포츠 심리학자의 도움을 받아, 큰 대회에 나와도 전처럼 불안하지 않다고 인터뷰에서 밝힌 바 있습니다.
   약점으로 지적된 서두르는 안무와 어색한 Transition을 1달 동안 어떻게 강화해 왔을지가 관건입니다.


SP   U.S. National Junior


FS   U.S. Nationals junior




이들 빅 4 이외에 12위권 안에 있는 선수들은
당일 컨디션에 따라 성적이 좌우될 듯 합니다.

이들 선수들의 가장 최근 경기를 링크합니다.

크리스티나 가오

SP 2012 미국 내셔널 시니어


FS 2012 미국 내셔널 시니어



리지준
SP 중국 동계체전



FS 중국 동계체전




쇼지 리사

SP JGP Final


FS JGP Final



바네사 램

SP JGP Final


FS JGP Final



한편 위의 예상 선수에는 없지만
주목할 만한 선수로는
캐나다의 95년생 Kaetlyn Osmond가 있습니다.
Osmond 선수는 2010년 ISU JGP에서는 부진했지만
이번 캐나다 시니어 내셔널에서 155.47을 기록하며 3위를 차지합니다.

SP (Canada Nationals Sr.)




FS (Canada Nationals Sr.)




남싱,아이스댄싱, 페어와 달리
이상하게도 여싱에서만 탑랭커가 없는 캐나다는
조애니 로셋의 복귀를 바라면서도
한편으로는 오스몬드 선수에게 많은 기대를 걸고 있습니다.

여기서 최근의 주니어 월드 포디움 점수를 알아보자면

2010 주니어 월드
        165.47 무라카미, 156.79 자와즈키, 154.27 폴리나 아가포노바
2011 주니어 월드
        174.96 소트니코바,   169.11 툭타미셰바,  161.37 자와즈키 

하지만, 이번 대회의 경우 전체적인 점수 상승
그리고 그레이시 골드, 립니츠카야 등의 뉴페이스 가세로
포디움 하한선은
165~170 정도가 되지 않을까 합니다.

김해진 선수 이야기를 해볼게요.
김해진 선수는 ISU 대회 퍼스널 베스트로는 11위를 기록하고 있습니다.

하지만, 김해진 선수의 이번 시즌 점수 추이를 보시죠.

2011/8  주니어 대표선발전       147.53
2011/8  환태평양대회              146.83
2011/8  아시안 트로피             139.61
2011/9  ISU JGP Brisbane       131.02
2011/9  ISU JGP Brasov Cup   144.61 (ISU 공인 시즌, 퍼스널 베스트)
2011/11회장배 랭킹대회          146.39
2012/1  66회 종합선수권          167.73 (비공인 시즌 베스트)
2012/2  전국체전                    155.38

ISU Brisbane에서 바뀐 부츠로 고생하며
131.02의 성적을 거두었지만,

그 이후 2011년 9월말부터 참가한
모든 대회에서 140점 이상을 기록하고 있습니다.
최근 2012년에 참가한 대회에서는 비록 국내 대회였지만,
160점대, 150점 대를 기록하고 있습니다.

특히 지난주에 참가한 전국체전에서는
부츠를 바꾼지 얼마되지 않았고,
프리 경기 도중 음악이 두번이나 끊겼음에도 좋은 경기를 펼치며,
결국 150점대를 넘는 총점을 기록했습니다.

물론, 주니어 세계선수권이 주는 부담감은
아무리 멘탈면에서 강한 모습을 보여주는
해진 선수라 해도 다소 영향을 받을 것 입니다.

하지만, 최근 내셔널 등을 통해 상승세를 보여주고 있는 만큼,
좋은 컨디션으로 160점 중반을 넘는 점수를 거둔다면
5위 안의 성적을 거둘 수 있을 것 같습니다.

정말 쉽지는 않겠지만,
러시아 3인방과 그레이시 골드의 컨디션에 따라
동메달을 기다려 볼 수도 있겠죠.

마지막으로 다음 시즌 주니어월드 및 JGP 출전권에 대한 이야기를 해보겠습니다. (아래의 더보기 클릭)